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Wednesday February 06, 2008 at 4:55 pm
The Yogi Factor


I love exit polls.

Men seem to like Barack Obama better than Hillary Clinton—white men and black men. So do young people, especially those under 30. And Obama is racking up huge numbers among African American voters generally. Older voters, that is, those over 65,  seem to like Hillary Clinton better. Women, too, and women represent anywhere from  55 to 59 percent of the voters in these Democratic primaries. Nevertheless, Obama’s standing with white women voters seems to be improving. Latino voters, as expected, like Hillary Clinton a lot.  

If you are looking for a commander-in-chief, Hillary Clinton is your candidate.

If you are looking for someone who can unite the country, Obama is your man.

If you voted in Republican primaries yesterday, and your biggest worries are the economy, Iraq  and the security of the United States,  you salute John McCain.

If you think undocumented aliens are getting a free ride in this country,  you like Mitt Romney.

Click " Select a Candidate" to see which presidential candidate has similar views on these issues.

If you are still trying to figure out who to vote for, here's an interesting site - "Romney also did better with conservatives, but McCain did better with those who consider themselves moderates—people like California Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger, who endorsed him. Romney also did well among voters searching someone who shares their beliefs, although when it comes to people looking for someone who says what he believes, McCain did better.  Romney, the former Massachusetts Governor has been labeled a flip-flopper. That’s what Republicans called Massachusetts Governor John Kerry four years ago. Something may have slipped into the water up there during construction of the Big Dig.  

Speaking of Massachusetts, Hillary Clinton beat Obama there, despite the enthusiastic support of Kerry, Governor Deval Patrick, and Senator Ted Kennedy. Boston Mayor Thomas Menino backed Clinton. So did several Bay State members of the U.S. House. Massachusetts has large blue-collar populations in places like Worcester and Springfield and some of the less affluent communities around Boston. Clinton does better with those voters. Better educated, higher income people are gravitating toward Obama.

So what do we conclude from all this?

Certainly with the Democrats, as New York Mets Manager Yogi Berra said of the l973 pennant race, “It ain’t over ‘til it’s over.”

The Mets won the pennant, by the way,  but lost the World Series to Oakland.

Coming up: our own junior Super Tuesday, the Chesapeake Primary, with DC, Maryland and Virginia primaries next Tuesday.

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Comments on The Yogi Factor
Mark
Jennifer: learn to spell. And stop shouting. You're nothing but an ad for ill-mannered bad tempered Republicans.

Gordon: My goodness am I glad you came over to Channel 7. I love exit polls as well. However, that's not the question right now. The real issue now becomes who wins what matchup, and more importantly how do potential pairings (D to R) impact the future primaries. My guess is that the rabid Republicans would love to have Hillary up their as the D candidate so they can rehash 8 years of trash talk. So what does that mean the rabid Republican trash talkers do now to bolster her candidacy, undercut Obama's and push neanderthalic conservatives to vote McCain?

Kathleen
It is without a doubt a fact that Senator Clinton is the most experienced and vetted candidate who can win over Senator McCain in the upcoming Presidential election - Obama, while a fine speaker, does not have the experience to withstand a full republican attack. Let us not be confused about this - Obama cannot win over McCain and America cannot prosper if another republican is returned to the White House! It is just too important - as BILLIONS of our tax dollars are daily shunted to Iraq and Afghanistan, our own economy continues to slide downhill and more and more Americans are without a job and/or without adequate healthcare. We need a strong, experienced, compassionate and intelligent presence in the White House - someone who can lead us into prosperity while also helping to repair relationships with our allies - relationships that have been so damaged by the last eight years of this administration. The whole world needs a strong America as an example of what a true democracy means, a democracy that respects individual rights and empowers its citizens, a democracy that also respects the sovereignty of other nations while also standing to help those nations seeking to form a democracy. We must make sure that our example is a good and true one. We need someone who is a skilled diplomat for dealing with troubled relationships like those with Iran and North Korea. We need a leader who is poised and powerful, someone savvy enough to be strong without having to jump to cowboy machismo and threats as a first stance. I believe that Senator Clinton fulfills these requirements and for this reason, she has my vote.

Kathleen
It is without a doubt a fact that Senator Clinton is the most experienced and vetted candidate who can win over Senator McCain in the upcoming Presidential election - Obama, while a fine speaker, does not have the experience to withstand a full republican attack. Let us not be confused about this - Obama cannot win over McCain and America cannot prosper if another republican is returned to the White House! It is just too important - as BILLIONS of our tax dollars are daily shunted to Iraq and Afghanistan, our own economy continues to slide downhill and more and more Americans are without a job and/or without adequate healthcare. We need a strong, experienced, compassionate and intelligent presence in the White House - someone who can lead us into prosperity while also helping to repair relationships with our allies - relationships that have been so damaged by the last eight years of this administration. The whole world needs a strong America as an example of what a true democracy means, a democracy that respects individual rights and empowers its citizens, a democracy that also respects the sovereignty of other nations while also standing to help those nations seeking to form a democracy. We must make sure that our example is a good and true one. We need someone who is a skilled diplomat for dealing with troubled relationships like those with Iran and North Korea. We need a leader who is poised and powerful, someone savvy enough to be strong without having to jump to cowboy machismo and threats as a first stance. I believe that Senator Clinton fulfills these requirements and for this reason, she has my vote.

John
Just think if you can make History and vote for Hilllary... we could be this first to put a Woman in the White House. My Mother is 83 and it would trill her, trill me I am 54, trill my niece that is 25......Wow it would be a CHANGE for sure. Let's give a Woman a chance at the Big Chair... Thank you

Gretchen Godfrey
Here is another IF: Per the Chinese community here in my area, if O gets the nod, they will switch to McCain. Their newspapers strongly support Hillary and recommend this alternative. We have a huge Asian population in California, from where I come. I decided long ago that I would switch parties if O is the Dem candidfate. Much as it appears there is momentum, let's not forget that the cacuses draw very few of the registered electorate. In fact, in Washington state, only 50K voted--what news reports (almost silently) as prox 1.3% of the registered voters. This does not represent the state by any measure. In Iowa, it was a youth brigade who stumped for O. Do we really want a country run by someone who uses mass psychology on teenagers as support? Finally, his money comes from the well heeled and, in spite of his claims, second hand lobbyists. He never takes it first hand from a lobbyist. I tend to go with my intuition or gut feeling: I don't trust O.

QEAST
Hello:

Hillary Clinton is my Senitor and has done an absolutley fantastic job for us here in NY and I konw that she will do an absolutley woderfull job as Presedent. She is incredibly smart, she knows the issues EXTREMELY well, She knows froeign issues just as well and is very familiar with the worlds leaders.

Please dont let ALL the bad press/media fog your judgement. Hillary Clinton WILL standupfor the rights of the hard working class, the federal employies, healthcare, and SO SO MUCH MORE.

She is a dynamic individual, who will fight for ALL of us and be sure that we are ALL taken care of.

sunnyd
Although I thought long and hard and had to wade through the plethora of Pro-Obama and Anti-Clinton media attention, I did vote for Clinton because she has the qualifications, the experience and the intellect to get this job done, right. Is Obama likable? Sure, but so was GWB and look where that got us! Seriously though folks, it's important that we really know who our prefered candidate is based on all the facts, good and bad. We know all of Hillary's stuff, but very little of Obama's. When they dig and uncover his skeletons (and yes they are there, just read some of the buried pages of recent New York Post and Chicago Tribune articles for starters) the Reblicans are going to have a field day. Ton think the media isn;t influencing this campaign is to be sorely naive.

It is wrong on so many levels to vote for the inexperienced candidate because he is African American (look at the previous elections and % of voters from that demographic), and not voting for the experienced one because she is a woman seems "ok". Would it be great if Senator Clinton was an African American/Latino woman instead? Sure, but if you had to think about that one and nod in agreement, then there's a problem with this country.

I want my next President to have concrete, realistic and inspirational solutions to our country's problems. Notice the order here, it is for a reason. Obama has not had the intense media scrutiny that Clinton has had, and the media has crowned him their darling. That smacks of Cold War Russia, when their public was bombarded with the "messages" and spin the powers that be wanted folks to see. I fo one know that this election is important enough for me to read, weigh and objectively analyze the facts, all of them. To do any less is to render this process of electing our next President a joke.

JENNIFER
YOU ARE NOT GIVING EQUAL TIME IN THE NEWS FOR THE REPUBLICAN PARTY, WHY?!? I ENJOY LEARNIG ABOUT OBAMA AND MAY VOTE FOR HIM, BUT NOT HEARING ABOUT MCCAIN OR OTHER REPUBLICANS MAKES ME WANT TO KNOW MORE ABOUT TEHM. IS'NT THE NEWS SUPPOSED TO REPORT THE NEWS, NOT SWAY THE PUBLIC OPINION?

Greetings from Iowa
There is a rumor that this station has invited Democratic candidates Obama and Clinton to debate. Could you confirm or refute this?

Since there have already been 18 Democratic debates, what would be the specific focus of one on your station? Personally, I think it is best for the candidates to interact with the electorate. The "small screen" format is too filtered, aseptic.

Thank you!

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