From the ABC 7 Weather team

Hurricane Irene local forecast: Expect heavy rains, possible flooding

August 26, 2011 - 01:23 PM
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Residents should use Friday to prepare for the arrival of Hurricane Irene.

Residents should use today to prepare for the arrival of Hurricane Irene. Partly sunny skies will be overhead today however with a frontal boundary stalled just to our south and east.

TROPICAL STORM WARNING: D.C., Montgomery, Fairfax, Prince William, Stafford, Spotsylvania, and all points to the Bay

HURRICANE WARNING: Along the Delmarva and Lower Chesapeake Bay

UPDATE 12:07 p.m.: St. Mary’s County has been placed under a Hurricane Warning.

Residents should use today to prepare for the arrival of Hurricane Irene. Partly sunny skies will be overhead today however with a frontal boundary stalled just to our south and east I can’t rule out a couple isolated showers throughout the day and into the early overnight.

Irene is still on track to bring nasty and potentially dangerous conditions here by Saturday night into Sunday. Irene will likely be a strong Category 1 or weak Category 2 storm as it passes just off our coast Sunday morning.

What to expect: Saturday morning can be used to put the final touches on preparations however heading into the afternoon and evening hours we expect rain to develop and winds to begin to increase as Irene closes in.

By Saturday night tropical storm conditions will be in place meaning heavy rain, possible flooding, and sustained winds of 30-40 mph with gusts in excess of 45-50 mph. Conditions will improve Sunday afternoon as Irene departs with gradual clearing expected. Winds will remain elevated and gusty well into the afternoon hours Sunday. Rainfall totals are expected to be between 1-3” with higher amounts of 3-6” possible across Southern MD and the Northern Neck.

There is a very high likelihood of flooding and power outages with this storm especially south and east of town where the weather will be the worst. Locally higher amounts will be possible. Due to where we are located in relation to this storm and its projected path storm surge is not a concern along the Bay. Stay tuned for more updates as we continue to track and monitor this dangerous storm.

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