Severe thunderstorms are once again pounding parts of the Deep South today across Alabama and Georgia. The threat for severe weather extends all the way into the Carolinas this evening and tonight as this strong frontal system moves east. What's even more interesting is by tomorrow morning, the D.C. area could even be in on the chance for a few thunderstorms. There's even the chance for a few severe thunderstorms for parts of the Delmarva. You call this January huh? Here's a look at the next 72 hours in my latest afternoon analysis.
Interesting weather day Friday: Friday will be a day like no other in the D.C. area this year, as temperatures should start out in the upper 50s to near 60 degrees in the morning hours ahead of a strong cold front. The morning commute will more than likely be a bit on the messy side as heavy showers and possibly even a few thunderstorms will span the region. For that reason be sure to add in some additional time getting to work. I think the rain will be done by lunch time tomorrow as it moves east. This should allow for some clearing along with mild temperatures in the 50s. Once the winds change around to the northwest in the early afternoon hours, cooler air will filter in with temperatures in the late afternoon back into the 40s. Winds will also be quite gusty out of the northwest around 15 to 25 m.p.h.
Weekend Forecast: Mild temperatures appear like they will hang around this weekend, contrary to my earlier belief to not trust the models. Highs should range in the low to mid 50s on Saturday under partly cloudy skies. A weak system will enter the region late Sunday bringing the chance for a few sprinkles or possibly even flurries but not much else. Highs Sunday should reach the upper 40s.
Severe Weather Potential: I think the severe threat will be mainly south and east of D.C. tomorrow morning. The amount of shear in the atmosphere is plentiful but there isn't a lot of cooler air aloft limiting the amount of lift. I would give the best chance for severe wind gusts or a possible tornado anywhere from the Northern Neck south and east with much better chances for the Hampton Roads/Tidewater and Eastern North Carolina.
Just think, one year ago was commutageddon! Which would you rather be dealing with?