From the ABC 7 Weather team

A Wet Thursday and Snow Chance Increasing for Sunday

February 16, 2012 - 12:08 PM
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Umbrellas through rush hour

This Afternoon: Rain, Moderate at times

Temperatures: 46-51 | Rain: 1/2 inch some areas

Tonight: Rain Ending Early Clearing Late

Lows: 31-37 | Wind: NW 5-10

Friday: Sunny, Breezy but Mild by Afternoon

Highs: 50-55 | Wind: NW 10-15

Just a plain old steady rain over us the next few hours with some moderate rain.  Keep an eye on live Doppler.  Later tonight the wave moves off and the weather races return with dry air and high pressure in over us through much of Saturday.  But the excitement about possible snow on Sunday for snow lovers is building.

What the past few days looked like a long shot for any snow Sunday, given this winter's pattern and a wide range of simulations of the storm that has yet to develop, is now becoming at least a 50% chance of having snow or rain Sunday.  The storm will not even develop until Saturday over Texas and then move to the southeast Sunday.  The track is looking more to the north, meaning we in DC are more likely to see precipitation on Sunday.  There is still not very cold air to our north (one needed snowstorm ingredient) and low level winds are likely to be from the east and southeast so the chances of a "big" snow (4 inches or more) for DC south and east are low-less than 30% right now.  But if the trend of the track of the storm continues to move more to the north, there is enough cold air west and north of DC to make snow more likely than rain and especially above 1000 feet Sunday could be a snowy day.  Still several days away and right now highest probability is for snow to rain DC but snow west and north.  Too early for accumulations and next 24 hours things will get much clearer.  Meanwhile back to sun Friday

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