I've posted a blog on the risk of severe weather Tuesday and the reasons why.  I think it is now likely there will be severe warnings Tuesday as already there is a tornado watch up in the South tonight.  Tuesday morning there will be a few showers and then later in the day,  the cold front comes our way from West Virginia.  The timing is obviously critical as to whether we get severe weather. We'll have regular updates through tomorrow and live blogs to keep you posted.