A cold, but quiet start to the week with a coastal storm lurking by Wednesday.
This Afternoon: Partly Sunny
Highs: Around 50 | Wind: N10
Lows: Upper 20s to mid 30s. | Wind: N 5
Highs: Upper 40s | Wind: NE 5
A chilly start this week. We woke up to a freeze warning for much of the area outside of the immediate metro. Thanks to cloud cover, we avoided a hard freeze (28 degrees for 4 hours or more), but several Virginia towns dropped in the upper 20s to lower 30s. Luray hit 28, Culpeper hit 30, and Manassas dropped to 30 degrees. Clouds will be decreasing this afternoon, as skies turn partly sunny, but cool temperatures continue. Highs still on the range of 10 degrees below average. Big changes for midweek with a coastal storm developing. Model consensus still not in agreement on how far offshore the system will track. The NAM and GFS like to keep it offshore as shown here with little impact on the area. I think we should get some rain from the storm, but not major impact. Concern is to the north in Hurricane Sandy ravaged areas. Waves and wind will scour the NJ/NY coast. Nothing compared to Sandy, but any additional damage is obviously unwelcome. Snow possibilities still a questionmark, too. There could be a little mix on Thursday morning, especially with elevation. Once we get through the coastal storm (Wednesday and Thursday) we will finally start to see temperatures warm up and 60s should returnn by the weekend at the latest. Lots of tweaking to the forecast still possible for Coastal system.