A cold night tonight and fine weather for Election Day. But everything that we are looking at points to a strong storm developing and moving up the east coast. Here's my quick discussion and look at a late simulation that did so well with Hurricane Sandy. With the cold air over us and if the strom track is close to us, there could indeed be some snow in the high spots west and north. This is a high resolution simulation that shows high probability of frozen precipitation near us.
Courtesy SUNY-Stony Brook. Ensemble forecasts (previous blog here) of the "models" are a good indicator of the track when there is general agreement. Here is a late look from the meteorology department at PSU which does show pretty good agreement and keeps the worst of the storm to our east. Unfortunately winds along the coast are still likely to be 30-40 mph and higher gusts.
The main impact again is very likely to be to our north and along the Maryland to New England coast. The storm should slowly drift northeast off the New England coast and NOT be drawn west as Sandy was. With the many folks still without power in the New York area this next storm even with a strom surge outlook well below what Sandy did at The Battery.
The storm will still just add to the problems along the New Jersey, New York and New England coastline. Right now for DC, some chilly rain and possibly some wet snowflakes Thursday then finally some quient weather as we head into the weekend.