A warm end to January. A change in February?
A near record breaking end to January and after our 1 week of "cold", here we are into the 70s in some spots. Sorry winter weather lovers, right now there doesn't seem to be any big change that will bring persistent cold or a major snowstorm our way through the next couple of weeks. Here is the outlook from the NWS climate prediction center for the first 1/2 of February.
One of the items we look at is the "Arctic Oscillation" which was negative for a bit, as Jan 22-28 was cold. The AO is very hard to predict but no indication it will go strongly negative which would indicate very cold air heading to the east.
Finally a long look (past 7-9 days little-minimal skill) at the upper level pattern and it sure looks progressive into mid-February. Still hope snow lovers for a "big" storm? Sure always hope but as as we head toward March, the probability of any big late season snowstorm decreases rapidly. Stay tuned and we'll keep you posted.