From the ABC 7 Weather team

Wild January Storms

January 30, 2013 - 12:05 PM
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A strong cold front will bring the possibility of strong storms with damaging winds and heavy rain to the D.C. area.


Follow our Stormwatch 7 Page and please send us any pictures or videos if you see any flooding or severe weather. First and foremost, be safe! Stay indoors away from windows if severe weather moves into your area.

2:18am:  Live doppler shows the strongest line of gusty storms moving over the Chesapeake Bay and on the Eastern shore.  There is still one more line of moderate showers moving through Prince George's and Charles counties and eventually sliding off to the shore.  Rainfall tapering off behind this.

2:02am:  Can you tell where the front is?  Temperatures remain in the 50s and 60s across much of the region.  Notice the upper 30 to low 40 degree readings in Oakland, MD, Elkins, WV.  That is the "colder" air that will eventually make it to D.C.

1:54am:  Severe thunderstorm warning for St. Mary's and southern Calvert counties until 2:45am.  This line is moving East at 30mph and is capable of producing 60mph or greater.

1:30am:  Here's a wide view of what's still to come.  The back-side of the system is currently moving through SW VA.  The D.C. area likely has another 2 to 3 hours of moderate rain, before the wet weather starts to taper off.

1:24am:  A flash flood warning now in effect through 4:15 am for all of southern Maryland.

1:08am:  If you live in Charles county and were wondering where the rain was, here it is!

12:49am:  Super doppler showing, once again, two distinct lines of heavy rain.  I feel like we've seen this pattern over and over today. The training rain continues and unfortunately brings more flooding concerns. 

12:34am:  Wind Advisory extended for the entire area through 6pm Thursday.  Winds could gust between 40 and 50 mph at times.  The winds are slowly starting to pick up.


11:52pm:  Line of very heavy rain through Montgomery county and into eastern Fairfax county. 

11:13pm:  Rainfall totals as of 11pm.  Click here for a detailed list.  

Ijamsville, MD - 3.34"

Mt. Airy, MD - 3.05" 

Clarksbury, MD - 2.88"

Purcellville, VA - 2.84"

10:46pm: Tornado watch canceled for the D.C. metro area, but remains in effect until 2am over southern MD.  The greatest threat across the entire area tonight is flash flooding. 

10:09pm: Be sure to check out our HD Maps page for the latest watches and warnings, location of the rain in our radar pages along with temperatures and winds.

10:04pm: St. Mary's and Calvert Counties in Southern Maryland have avoided the rain so far but very heavy rainfall is on the way by Midnight as a strong line is currently moving into Central Virginia.

9:55pm: Our Stormscan continues to show very heavy rainfall west of D.C. This will continue to fall across the region over the next couple of hours and will worsen the current flooding issues.

9:43pm: Flood Warnings have now been issued for Frederick, Howard, Montgomery, Fauquier and Loudoun Counties until 3:30am as one to two additional inches of rain will be possible through the next couple of hours.

9:32pm: Meteorologist Ryan Miller pointed out a good fact. Reagan National has only record 1.39" of precipitation for the month of January. That total may be doubled by the time this system exits later tonight. So far Reagan National has recorded 0.41" though that is sure to rise considerably over the next few hours.

9:26pm: Check out the river gauges in your area as they may have gone up a couple feet in the past couple of hours. So far the region remains under any flood stages, though Flash Flooding is on going through parts of the area. If you encounter high water, report it and find another way to get around.

9:16pm: A Flash Flood Warning has been issued for Culpeper, Fauquier, Madison, Rappahannock and Orange Counties in our viewing area until 3:15am. Heavy rain will continue to train over these areas through Midnight or early Thursday morning.

9:04pm: Here are some rainfall totals closer to the D.C. Metro. Rain will continue over the next few hours before coming to an end after midnight, leading to more potential flooding problems.

Arlington, VA: 0.43"    Washington, D.C.: 0.36"

Annandale, VA: 0.43"    Beltsville, MD: 0.46"

8:52pm: There is a new Tornado Watch that overspreads southcentral Virginia including Richmond and central North Carolina including Raleigh south to Wilmington.

8:39pm: Here is a statement from NWS Sterling... "Just got off the phone with 911 dispatch in Frederick Co MD. They report mulitple roads closed due to high water...along with several waters rescues just completed in the Urbana Area on Peters Rd where a woman was rescued from the top of her vehicle in flooded waters. Will issue LSR shortly."

Remember turn around, don't drown. Be safe out there and please report any flooding!

8:34pm: Here is a look at some of the heavier rain headed towards D.C. in the next few hours. It should continue through Midnight and possibly the early morning hours. Areas of flooding will be possible and some reports of high water have already come in across Loudoun County.

8:32pm:  The severe thunderstorm warning for D.C. has been canceled.  Still a line of gusty downpours moving through Prince Georges county.

8:01pm: Severe T-Storms are now moving through the D.C. Metro with high winds possible along with very heavy rain. There have been some reports of trees down in the area, please continue to forward along to us any reports of wind damage or flooding.

7:52pm:  A severe thunderstorm warning is in effect until 8:30pm for the entire D.C. metro area and Baltimore.  The line of storms moving East are producing blinding rain and strong winds.

7:40pm: Leading edge of downpours approaching Bethesda, McLean, & Burke.

7:20pm: Weatherbug rainfall totals highest over Frederick and Loudoun counties where rain has been falling constantly since about 2pm.  A flash flood warning remains in effect for these areas.  Check out the totals, so far.

7:05pm: A Severe T-Storm Warning is in effect until 7:45pm for Prince William, Fairfax, Fauquier, Stafford, Culpeper, Spotsylvania and Orange for winds that may exceed 60mph. Be sure to track it on Live Super Doppler 7 as it approaches the D.C. Metro and I-95 corridor.

6:32pm:  TORNADO WATCH in effect for the entire D.C. metro area through 2am. As the strong front approaches, there is enough energy in the atmosphere for circulation to develop. 

6:24pm:  New severe thunderstorm warning until 7pm for Culpeper, Fauquier, Greene, Madison, Orange, Rappahannock, and Spotsylvania counties. 

6:04pm: Severe Thunderstorm Warnings are in effect until 6:45pm for Orange, Nelson, Greene, Albemarle and the City of Charlottesville. It is capable of producing winds in excess of 60mph.

5:43pm:  Flash flood warnings in effect for parts of Rappahannock, Warren, Clarke, Fauquier, and Loudoun counties through 9:30pm.  Moderate showers continue to fall over the same areas.  Rememeber to never drive through standing water.  Additional rainfall totals of 1-2 inches are possible.

5:35pm: Here are some of the latest heavy rainfall totals.

Hamilton, VA (Loudoun County): 1.48"

Adamstown, MD (Frederick County): 1.33"

Leesburg, VA: 1.33"

Mt. Airy, MD: 0.93"

5:06pm:  Showers mainly north and west of D.C.  Temperatures considerably coolder, in the 50s, where the rain has been falling steadily over the past few hours.  D.C.A. remains at 70 degrees.  Watching strong storms approaching Staunton from the southwest now.

4:55pm Bob Ryan here.  Here's a short discussion and the timeline though noon tomorrow.  Heaviest rain and wind still coming through DC area 10PM-2AM. 

4:12pm: new mesoscale discussion has an 80% chance of a severe t-storm watch being issued soon to cover the D.C. area from the increasing threat from the storms over southwest Virginia. 

4:05pm  Radar loop over last 2 hours some training setting up from Front Royal to Frederick and Montgomery County.  Local heavy rain next few hours local flooding possible.  Flood watch until late tonight

3:59pm: A Severe Thunderstorm Watch has been issued for southwestern Virginia until 10pm in association with a strong line of thunderstorms that you can see using our Interactive Radar. This line has the potential to make it to the D.C. area later tonight so we will be watching it very closely.

Severe T-Storm Watch for southwestern VA until 10pm

3:35pm:  Late hyperlocal Futurecast coming in shows winds about midnight 50+mph in DC.  You may be woken up by the strongest winds 10PM-1AM west to east

3:27pm: A Wind Advisory has been posted for the entire viewing area until 6am tomorrow. Winds will gust up to 50mph at times through the early morning hours.

3:06pm: Some heavy rain is affecting Loudoun, Frederick, Montgomery, Clarke and Warren Counties along the line. A quarter to a half inch of rain has fallen in many of these areas with some higher totals locally. Here are some of the totals so far.

Woodstock, VA:  0.70"   Martinsburg, WV: 0.59"   Adamstown, MD: 0.52"

Leesburg, VA: 0.47"   Clarksburg, MD: 0.43"

3:00pm: Rain is coming down on our HD weather camera now along I-270 in Germantown, MD at the WeatherBug Headquarters building on Father Hurley Blvd.

2:35pm: Storms continue to weaken as they enter Montgomery County and move into Leesburg as well in Loudoun County. There is still some gusty winds and heavy rain associated. I have seen winds in the mid 30s and rainfall totals up to a quarter of an inch with this line. The southern extent of the line has drastically weakened.

2:13pm: This line of heavy rain and gusty winds will move into the City of Frederick in the next 5 minutes as well as Leesburg, VA in the next 15 minutes. This line still doesn't have any severe characteristics.

2:02pm: Thank you everyone for your reports of heavy rain entering the western suburbs with this line. It will move into Frederick and Loudoun Counties now and towards the D.C. Metro closer to 3pm if it holds together. The highest wind gusts were 41mph in Brunswick in Frederick County, MD and 40mph in Woodstock along I-81 in Shenandoah County, VA.

1:56pm: Be sure to check out this HD camera in Frederick, MD of the approaching line of heavy rain. It should enter in the next 15 minutes or so.

1:42pm: Here's a look at Today's Storm Reports from the SPC. This includes a tornado that went through Adairsville, GA causing damage and potential injuries. There will be more information coming out regarding this storm later today I am sure. Added correction, there has now been a confirmed fatality by the National Weather Serivce of someone hit by the tornado when they were in their mobile home.

Today's Storm Reports

1:33pm: A Mesoscale Discussion was put out for the majority of our area around Noon highlighting the fact that the severe threat would decrease through the afternoon hours. With that being said, this lone of storms is continuing to move through the Shenandoah Valley with some of the stronger parts of the line moving through Washington Co., MD and Berkeley County in WV. Shepherdstown and Myersville down the line should prepare to seek shelter indoors as this line moves into those areas in the next 10 (Shepherdstown) to 30 (Myersville) min.

1:25pm: Here is video of the tornado that went through parts of northern Georgia earlier today. Video Here

1:17pm: The current line of storms west of the D.C. area will move into Hagerstown, Martinsburg and Winchester all along the I-81 corridor in the next 10-15 minutes. Wind gusts to 50mph are possible along with very heavy rainfall, though there are no warnings in place at this time.


TIMING: We think this first line that is currently moving into the Shenandoah Valley will weaken as it crosses the Blue Ridge. The main timing for the stronger, heavier rain and storms will be closer to Midnight, with the timing even sooner, 10-11pm in the western and far western suburbs. Here is a good look at a trustworthy model showing a line of storms pushing through the D.C. area right after Midnight.

12Z 4km NAM Model Run for 1am tonight

12:49pm: Check out our Live Super Doppler Radar. The line of heavy rain that is currently on it is a low-topped line which should move closer to the Blue Ridge Mountains around 2pm. We currently don't think this line will hold together as it moves east of the Blue Ridge into a more stable atmosphere. That line has already showed signs of weakening as it has been exiting West Virginia.

12:39pm: Here is a look at the current outlooks as far as the risk for severe weather from the Storm Predicition Center. Just about the entire east coast has a chance for severe weather, with the primary threat coming in the form of damaging winds.

Current Outlook from the Storm Prediction Center

12:30pm: Winds are already gusting from the 20 to 30 mph range right now out of the south out ahead of the cold front. Even some of the sustained winds are at or just above 30 mph. This gives a good idea of just how strong this front is.

12:14pm: A Flash Flood Watch is in effect for parts of the D.C. area including the D.C. Metro from 3pm through late tonight. It is a Flash Flood Watch and not a Flood Watch in our area as very heavy rainfall may fall in a very short period of time, leading to Flash Flooding.

HPC Forecast Precipitation for Today
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