From the ABC 7 Weather team

Spring Outlook: Any Warm-Up?

March 22, 2013 - 05:00 AM
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NOAA's Climate Prediction Center recently released its Spring Outlook. The outlook encompasses temperature, precipitation, drought, and flooding expectations for the coming three months.

March and the spring season have started off much cooler than average.  Not only for us here in D.C., but across much of the country. Check out the high temperatures across the U.S. yesterday and the departure from average. 

So is this cooler than average temperature trend going to last for a while? Well, it's bound to warm-up, at some point, it just make take a little time. And after going over NOAA's recent seasonal outlook, there is hope for warm weather lovers. The Climate Prediction Center is a part of NOAA and recently released their three month seasonal outlook.  The outlook predicts weather for April, May, and June.

When I mentioned there is hope for warm weather lovers, check out the three month seasonal temperature outlook for the U.S. 


About a third, to half, of the country has a great than 30% probability of experiencing above average temperatures.  It's a little hard to imagine, right now, when much of the U.S. is enduring a cold start to spring.  Now this doesn't mean there won't be cooler than average days, but overall, the trend will be for milder than average temperatures.

As for precipitation, the highest probability of wetter than average conditions exists over the Great Lakes and Midwest, where as a drier than average outlook is forecast for much of the west and along the Gulf. 


Much of the southwest remains very dry and under a drought.  The most recently updated drought outlook doesn't look very promising for those very dry areas in the southwest.  Also, notice areas NOAA has highlighted as a heightened flood risk this spring.


The overall outlook for D.C. looks fairly average in regard to precipitation with the potential for above average temperatures. 

For a more detailed explanation from NOAA, watch this great video.  

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