2014 will bring with it the potential for more snow in the D.C. area. The first system may bring snow to parts of the region before the weekend.
This year ended with a roller coaster ride in the temperature department, hitting record highs on the Saturday and Sunday prior to Christmas before plummeting back into the 30s for Christmas Day. It was actually the coldest Christmas Day since 2004 and coldest high temperature recorded since last February!
Temperatures as of late have been seasonable or slightly milder than average, but the New Year looks to bring with it another active pattern reminiscent of mid-December. A weak cold front will bring nothing more than a wind shift for New Year's Eve, but winds will become breezy tomorrow afternoon and evening out of the northwest around 10 to 20 mph.
This will help bring in slightly cooler air for New Year's Day, with highs around the lower 40s. A disturbance that has been hanging around the Gulf Coast will get caught up in a trough of low pressure and get steered towards the East Coast on Thursday. Ample moisture will be available as the system moves into the D.C. area Thursday afternoon and intensifies off the East Coast.
- GFS Forecast MSLP and 6=hr Precipitation for Thursday Evening
As usual, there isn't a lot of consensus in the forecast just yet, but latest trends are beginning to show signs for the potential of snow in parts of the region as an area of low pressure develops along the East Coast. Literally as of Monday's afternoon model guidance, the snowfall confidence is extremely low. There are more questions than answers. Current guidance shows everything from moderate snow to flurries. Location of where the surface low will develop also hasn't been pinned down and this will be a huge factor in determining where or IF snow will fall.
This blog is merely to inform you there is a possibility of snow Thursday night into Friday. We will definitely be updating this throughout the week, so any changes that arise in the forecast will be forwarded to your attention. Our current best guess is for precipitation to move into the region Thursday afternoon and exit the area Friday morning. Light snow appears possible, but at this point, that's as much as we can say. We'll be able to hone in on this system a little better as we head later into the week.
Here's to hoping for a better chance for snow in the New Year!