From the ABC 7 Weather team

Archive for category Travel August 2014

Rain to return to the region next week

August 15, 2014 - 09:48 AM
0 Comments

At this point in time, I think a lot of us Washingtonians are wondering where the summer has gone. With temperatures in the 50s to low 60s this morning, and highs only near 80 this afternoon, we'll be 7-10 degrees below average across the area. Looking ahead to the 7-Day forecast, summer is expected to return by the end of the weekend. But with the increasing levels of heat and humidity will come a higher likelihood for showers and thunderstorms.

Morning lows Friday, August 15

The eastern part of the U.S. has been beautiful this morning due to high pressure filtering in behind yesterday's weak reinforcing cold front. Temperatures were thought to possibly break into the 50s at Reagan National this morning, which would have been the first time in 10 years that has occurred, but low and behold, it only dropped to 62 degrees. I'm guessing chalk that up to the warm water temperature at 77 degrees in the Potomac next to the sensor.

Temperatures will rise slightly into Saturday, back into the mid 80s. By Sunday, a cold front currently situated over Canada will move into the region, bringing a chance for showers and storms by the afternoon and evening. Highs Sunday should reach the upper 80s.

Water Vapor imagery from Friday morning

Beyond Sunday, the forecast can be summed up by the one word many of you don't like hearing...unsettled. Monday and Tuesday will feature a chance for storms from a disturbance currently located over the northern Rockies. By Wednesday and Thursday, we'll be under the influence of a trough which is currently over the Pacific Northwest. This set-up will feature dewpoints in the upper 60s all week, along with showers and the chance for afternoon storms.

Forecast precipitation through Friday morning from the WPC

Taking a look at the precipitation forecast from the Weather Prediction Center above, the D.C. area may see 2 inches of rain or more with locally higher amounts through Friday morning of next week. Not exactly something we really need after the terrible flooding last week. Be sure to dust off the umbrella heading into next week!

Continue Reading

Areas of heavy rain in the D.C. area Tuesday

August 11, 2014 - 02:06 PM
0 Comments

An area of low pressure continues to move into the Great Lakes region today and an associated frontal boundary will bring the possibility of heavy rain through Tuesday. Showers will begin Monday evening, rather light in nature, and will continue to overspread the D.C. area overnight.

Surface map for Monday Evening

The Tuesday morning commute may be a wet one, but the heaviest rainfall is expected to fall Tuesday afternoon and evening. A few embedded thunderstorms will be possible, and some locations may see the potential of 1 to 2 inches of rain with isolated higher amounts.

RPM Precipitation Forecast

Our in-house RPM model shows the potential for much of the D.C. area to be closer to the 0.5" to 1" range, with isolated spots mainly north and west of D.C. with the higher amounts. This is in line with other modeling as well as the excessive rainfall discussion, which is pegging the state of Pennsylvania with the potential for the heaviest rainfall.

While ponding on the roadways will be possible, flooding doesn't appear to be a big threat at the moment. However, if some of the heavier showers and storms begin training over the same locations, some localized flash flooding may be possible, especially by the afternoon and evening hours on Tuesday.

Rain should wrap up for the most part overnight Tuesday into Wednesday morning. Drier air will filter back into the area Wednesday afternoon and at this point, conditions look about perfect Thursday through Saturday with plenty of sunshine and comfortable temperatures in the lower 80s.

Continue Reading