From the ABC 7 Weather team

Archive for category Tropical Weather July 2014

Hurricane Arthur: First Hurricane of the Atlantic Season

July 3, 2014 - 06:14 AM
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As of the 8am update from the National Hurricane Center,  Arthur is now a Category 1 hurricane with max winds of 80 mph and moving north/northeast at 8 mph.  Check out the storm via satellite and radar.   

NOAA
Intellicast Radar

The storm is currently bringing rain to eastern South Carolina and is expected to pass over eastern NC later tonight.   Mandatory evacuations are already in place for Hatteras Island, NC.   Hurricane warnings are in effect for these areas, as heavy rain, gusty winds, coastal flooding, and dangerous surf are expected. 

NWS Morehead City, NC

Arthur is projected to brush the Carolina coast tonight and be off the mid-Atlantic coast by midday tomorrow.  Check out the latest track map from the National Hurricane Center.

National Hurricane Center.

Our local impact from Arthur will occur today.  As a cold front approaches from the west, and tropical moisture from Arthur feeds into our area, severe storms and flash flooding will be possible this afternoon and evening.  The Storm Prediction Center has our area in an elevated risk for severe storms with damaging winds.  The National Weather Service has also issued a flash flood watch for later today, as well.

Storm Prediction Center
NWS Sterling, VA

The cold front will slide east tomorrow morning and help push Arthur farther out to sea.  Drier air will slide in from west to east through the day tomorrow.  It should be rather delightful for the fireworks displays tomorrow evening with low humidity, comfortable temperatures, and a nice breeze.

The rest of the holiday weekend forecast looks great.   Have fun and be safe!

 

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Tropical Storm Arthur: Forecast Track

July 2, 2014 - 05:30 PM
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Tropical Storm Arthur as of 5 p.m. Wednesday has maximum sustained winds of 70 mph and is moving slowly to the north around 7 mph. It is currently centered around 220 miles south-southeast of Charleston, South Carolina. .

Arthur is encountering some upper-level dry air north and west of the center but conditions are still favorable for intensification in the next 24 hours or so. The forecast continues to show Arthur as a Category 1 hurricane with winds around 85 mph by the time it approaches the Outer Banks of North Carolina.

The storm is expected to continue to the north today before a slight turn to the northeast into Thursday morning. As it approaches the Outer Banks and Mid Atlantic, the system will start to push farther northeast into the Atlantic as it encounters the frontal boundary which will move into our area today and tomorrow. This will be the feature that you can thank for hopefully making for a dry 4th of July fireworks display.

8am NHC forecast track update

For Friday, expect cloudy skies, breezy winds and possible showers in the morning hours in the D.C. area. The best chance for rain will be east of the city. Conditions should improve by the afternoon, with a little bit of clearing and diminishing breezes. Temperatures will be more comfortable in the mid 80s and humidity levels will fall with dewpoints back in the low 60s and upper 50s. Not like our typical 4th of July!

WPC QPF forecast for this morning through Saturday morning

If you are heading to the beaches, including the Delmarva, heavier rainfall is more likely along with high surf and gusty winds. Thursday and Friday will be the worst. Heavy rain, high surf and gusty winds will be likely, so get your movie tickets soon!

Saturday and Sunday will be sunny and warm, but dangerous rip currents will continue to be a likelihood as the remnants of the storm move farther northeast into the Atlantic. Keep this in mind if you are heading there and be sure to check with the lifeguards before entering the water if you aren't a strong swimmer or familiar with rip currents.

Check back here for the latest updates.

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