WJLA Poll: Mark Warner Wins Big in Virginia Senate Race|ABC 7 News

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WJLA Poll: Mark Warner Wins Big in Virginia Senate Race

posted 5:53 pm Mon September 17, 2007 - Rosslyn, VA

tags: warner • virginia • senate • poll

A poll commissioned by WJLA-TV found former Virginia Governor Mark Warner would easily defeat any likely Republican opponent if the election to replace retiring Senator John Warner (R-VA) were held now.

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ABC 7 News - WJLA Poll: Mark Warner Wins Big in Va. Senate Race

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Mark Warner Announces Senate Run

The poll, conducted by SurveyUSA, found Mark Warner would defeat northern Virginia Congressman Tom Davis by 35 points, former Governor Jim Gilmore by 28 points, and former Senator George Allen by 19 points. The poll interviewed 900 Virginia adults between September 14 and September 16 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percent.

Mark Warner, who announced his intentions last week, is the only declared candidate in the race. Former Senator George Allen was defeated in his re-election bid last year by Senator Jim Webb. Congressman Davis reportedly has considered running. Former Governor Gilmore dropped out of a recent presidential bid, but has been rumored to be considering a run.

Of the 783 registered voters polled, Mark Warner was the most favored of the four. Fifty percent of respondents had a favorable opinion of the former Governor, compared with 40 percent for Allen, 19 percent for Gilmore, and 13 percent for Davis. Davis is the only candidate to not have run for statewide office. Forty-six percent of respondents reported they were unfamiliar with Davis.

The favorable polling questions have a margin of error of plus or minus 3.6 percent.

Questions and Results:

1) Is your opinion of Mark Warner, the former governor, ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, are you unfamiliar with Mark Warner?

50% Favorable

14% Unfavorable

31% Neutral

5% Unfamiliar

Asked of 783 registered voters

Margin of Sampling Error for this question = ± 3.6%

2) Is your opinion of Jim Gilmore favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, are you unfamiliar with Jim Gilmore?

19% Favorable

34% Unfavorable

31% Neutral

15% Unfamiliar

Asked of 783 registered voters

Margin of Sampling Error for this question = ± 3.6%

3) Is your opinion of George Allen favorable ? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, are you unfamiliar with George Allen?

40% Favorable

34% Unfavorable

20% Neutral

6% Unfamiliar

Asked of 783 registered voters

Margin of Sampling Error for this question = ± 3.6%

4) Is your opinion of Tom Davis favorable ? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, are you unfamiliar with Tom Davis?

13% Favorable

10% Unfavorable

31% Neutral

46% Unfamiliar

Asked of 783 registered voters

Margin of Sampling Error for this question = ± 3.6%

5) If there were an election for United States Senate Monday, and the only two candidates on the ballot were Republican Jim Gilmore and Democrat Mark Warner, who would you vote for?

32% Gilmore

60% Warner

8% Undecided

Asked of 783 registered voters

Margin of Sampling Error for this question = ± 3.5%

6) What if the only two candidates for United States Senate were Republican George Allen and Democrat Mark Warner?

37% Allen

56% Warner

7% Undecided

Asked of 783 registered voters

Margin of Sampling Error for this question = ± 3.5%

7) What if the only two candidates for United States Senate were Republican Tom Davis and Democrat Mark Warner?

27% Davis

62% Warner

11% Undecided

Asked of 783 registered voters

Margin of Sampling Error for this question = ± 3.5% The sample was weighted for party registration: 38% Democrat, 30% Republican, 27% Independent.

WTVR-TV Richmond, WAVY-TV Norfolk, and WDBJ-TV Roanoke were also involved in commissioning the poll.

For a demographic breakdown of the results, CLICK HERE.

Latest Comment on WJLA Poll: Mark Warner Wins Big in Virginia Senate Race

SettledHere

7:56 pm on 09/17/07

But the election will not be held now. So besides the WSET cheering team trying to wish it was, why is this NEWS?

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