ABC7 StormWatch with Doug Hill and Jacqui Jeras

Today's Forecast Updated Thursday at 3:45 PM

Showers will dot radar overnight and into Friday; thunderstorms possible 4th of July.

Mostly Cloudy, Scattered Showers
Lows: 65°-72°
Wind: Northeast 3-8 mph
Mostly Cloudy, Scattered Showers
Highs: near 80°
Wind: East 4-8 mph
Partly Cloudy, Isolated T-Storms
Highs: near 80°
Precipitation: 30%

It hasn’t been the prettiest day of the summer but it’s been rain-free most of the day. The big question is when the rain will return…and for how long.

We continue under an atmospheric set-up that is unsettled. I say that because a frontal zone spread across Virginia continues to be quasi-stationary. That means it moves very little. And while in that configuration, areas of low pressure will move along it and produce occasional showers and thunderstorms. Figuring out the exact timing and locations of those showers and storms is something only a little more scientific than glorified guess-work.

With the Holiday Weekend almost upon us, the forecast…an accurate and reliable forecast…is quite the task. Bottom line is that we have a 70% chance of showers and thunderstorms tomorrow. Skies will be partly to mostly cloudy and the best chance of showers and storms will be during the afternoon and early evening.

On Saturday, skies will continue mostly cloudy at times. But the chance of showers and thunderstorms will be somewhat lower, about 30%. We believe the best chance of rain will be before the fireworks displays after sunset.

And on Sunday, skies will turn partly sunny. It will be breezy and warmer with temperatures climbing into the middle 80s. We’ve got our fingers crossed that new model guidance will suggest the rain chances will drop sooner than currently expected.

ABC7 Weather Blog Your Forecast from StormWatch 7

See all blog posts »